Tuesday, 8 September 2026

Eastern Sudan: Militarisation or State-Building? by Saleh Ammar

 

Eastern Sudan: Militarisation or State-Building

This study is written by Salih Ammar, a Sudanese politician and researcher, based in East Africa. He is a former Governor of Kassala State during Hamdok’s Civilian Government in Sudan. He can be reached at: Westhorn2030@gmail.com

The author argues that the distribution of weapons to civilians and the proliferation of armed movements across Sudan, including in the eastern region, pose a grave threat to both the state and its population. This issue requires serious, measured and informed debate, particularly because militarisation is likely to remain one of the defining challenges of the next phase—whether the war continues or gives way to ceasefires and negotiated settlements.

He broadly classifies the armed movements and militias operating in eastern Sudan into four categories. The first comprises formations associated with the Islamic Movement led by Ali Karti. The second consists of the Darfur-based groups commonly known as the Joint Forces. The third includes armed movements whose principal political and military focus is eastern Sudan. A fourth category is the Sudan Shield Forces, led by Abu Aqla Keikal. Although Sudan Shield includes fighters from the East, it has a significant presence in central Sudan and emerged under circumstances different from those that produced the eastern movements.

He looks at the challenges and consequences of the rise of Militias and the proliferation of weapons in Eastern Sudan. He indicates that one of the greatest dangers these movements pose is the fear their existence generates among the region’s communities. That fear encourages others to form their own armed groups, creating a cycle of mobilisation, counter-mobilisation, and escalating insecurity. 

He argues that different militias require different responses and suggests how the issue can be handled

https://www.mediafire.com/file/3e1zr8ifw5lb3ws/Eastern+Sudan+Militarisation+or+State+Building+Updt.pdf/file

Wednesday, 26 August 2026

From Spoke to Hub: The Houthis in Africa August 2026

 

From Spoke to Hub: The Houthis in Africa

https://tcf.org/content/report/from-spoke-to-hub-the-houthis-in-africa/


  • This report describes the Houthis’ push into the Horn of Africa and its neighbourhood and makes the case that the group is trying to establish itself as a new node of the “Axis of Resistance” ecosystem in the region.
  • The Houthis are making outreach efforts to a variety of African groups, including Somalia’s al-Shabaab, factions of the Sudanese Armed Forces, and various marginalised peoples and tribes across the Horn of Africa.
  • In many cases, the Houthis do not share ideology, language, religion, or grievances with these groups. But they have been placing bets on new relationships that will deepen their power, reach, and resilience in the region.
  • The Houthis’ expansion strategy closely mirrors efforts by Iran and Lebanon’s Hezbollah to mold the nonstate armed groups they sponsored into a Middle East-wide network that became today’s Axis of Resistance.
  • This report is the last of three in Beyond the Axis, a Century International project supported by the Cross-Border Conflict Evidence, Policy and Trends (XCEPT) research program, funded by UK International Development.

Thursday, 20 August 2026

تدهور النظام الصحي في إريتريا



تدهور النظام الصحي في إريتريا 



https://www.mediafire.com/file/qlrxp7cl2ig3bh3/تدهور+النظام+الصحي+في+إريتريا++full.pdf/file

Eritrea's Deteriorating Health System

 

Eritrea's Deteriorating Health System

20 August, 2026

A healthy population is the backbone of a society. It drives a society's wellbeing. Individuals can live longer, be more productive physically and intellectually, have fewer chronic diseases and disabilities, and, through preventive methods, a health service can reduce disease prevalence and respond to new challenges that may arise. But in a country where the government fails to provide basic services such as safe drinking water,  talking of a health system becomes a luxury.

Eritreans currently describe the health services as lacking essential equipment and medicines, with a shortage of trained manpower, and medical staff are all overwhelmed to the point of collapse. 

https://www.mediafire.com/file/7v4q79zr12742oz/Eritrea’s+Deteriorating+Health+System+P1+and+P2.pdf/file

Sunday, 10 May 2026

Lifting the US sanctions on Eritrea is long overdue

Lifting the US sanctions on Eritrea is long overdue

As some readers may know, there was a time when I argued for sanctions against Eritrea because of the regime´s persistent and deeply upsetting human rights abuses against its own citizens. As the vast majority of Eritreans, I had an expectation that the attention of the outside world would ensure that those in positions of power would be held to account. However, in the years since and particularly after observing the diverging responses of Western governments to wars in Ukraine versus Gaza, I have become increasingly doubtful about how sanctions are used in international relations. The US sanctions on Eritrea were not implemented in the interest of the Eritrean people, and now they will be lifted for the sake of current geopolitical considerations.

Today, I am not bothered by the principle of accountability itself but rather its selective application. Although sanctions are often discussed as measures to protect human rights and international law, in practice, they seem strongly influenced by political interests and geostrategic alliances. Some states are sanctioned quickly and comprehensively, while others, even accused of similar grievous breaches of rights, but happen to be allied, financially involved or geopolitically advantageous, escaped with caution or are outright protected.

This contradiction is exemplified by Eritrea. Eritrean armed forces have also, rightly, been accused of committing serious abuses throughout the course of the Tigray war. Many of those reports also described atrocities committed by Ethiopian forces, but the Ethiopian army was not sanctioned. The international response was nonsensically weighted towards Eritrea.

In Sudan, we can see another variation of the same song today. The U.S. has imposed sanctions on certain individuals associated with both the SAF and RSF, as well as on foreign mercenaries purportedly fighting on the side of one or the other faction. But the critics point to a refusal to directly challenge regional players such as the UAE, which stand accused of financing or facilitating the war. This, to many observers, further strengthens the view that sanctions are driven not by value-based principles but by self-interested political and economic considerations.

There is also the uncomfortable truth that sanctions hardly ever deliver on their own goals. Over the mountain ranges in Eritrea, where many of the targets are high-ranking military or security officials, whose presence in the West is so limited that individual sanctions have little impact, who work through opaque channels and systems using foreign names and regional alliances to sidestep restrictions. As a result, the impact is fairly limited for ground-level decision-makers.

The rest of us seldom get by unscathed. We already know that economic isolation, banking restrictions, and diplomatic pressure are deepening hardship, which they barely endure under authoritarian rule. Eritrea shows that sanctions produce no political change and do nothing to bolster opposition. Even the opposition has remained divided and failed to turn international pressure into domestic political pressure.

In the end, significant change in Eritrea — as in so many authoritarian cases — will not stem from foreign sanctions alone. It will have to come from within the society, via political change initiated and spearheaded by the Eritreans.

There is no excuse to overlook or justify human rights abuses. Far from it. However, when the principles of justice are binding only at certain times, they cannot be expected to provide moral authority for the international community. Otherwise, sanctions will continue to be seen around the world not as instruments of justice but as tools of geopolitical self-interest disguised in the language of human rights.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Isaias’s Unreciprocated Love for the US: Looking East while Moving West

 

Isaias’s Unreciprocated Love for the US: Looking East while Moving West

Isaias has always been seeking a special relationship with the US, but all previous administrations ignored him, cultivating relations with the larger antagonistic neighbour, Ethiopia. Isaias was regarded as an unreliable partner who waged wars with his neighbours. His overtures to China and Russia were only a means of getting US attention. The 2nd term of the Trump administration seems to reverse the course for new geopolitical considerations. The release in 2025 of some evangelical Christians detained in Eritrea for many years may have been a prerequisite for the lifting of sanctions. If the US administration were to use Eritrea for launching attacks against the Houthis in Yemen, Eritrea may end up being a target in the proxy wars in the region.

Isaias revels in the anti-American tough-guy brand he had cultivated, although he once supported the US war in Iraq, offering it a base. In the build-up to Gulf War 2, Isaias recruited the Beltway lobbyists Greenberg Traurig (at an annualised cost of $600,000) to drum up support for a US naval base in Eritrea. Under the slogan ‘Why Not Eritrea?’, Greenberg Traurig – the Eritrea campaign was headed by now disgraced ex-con, the conservative PR star, Jack Abramoff – sought to make the case that as a pro-American half-Christian, half-Muslim nation surrounded by Muslim theocracies.

More recently, Isaias sealed his position on March 2, 2022, among an isolated club of states, including Iran, North Korea, Russia and Syria, when Eritrea voted against a UNGA resolution Resolution ES‑11/1 condemning Russia's invasion of Ukraine. This didn't surprise observers of Eritrea as its foreign minister visited South Ossetia and Crimea after Russia occupied both territories.

During Independence Day addresses over the last few years, the president primarily delved into current global dynamics, denoting them as a realm dominated by what he labelled as “forces of hegemony and domination,” with a focus on China and Russia, and advocating for a fresh global paradigm.

The regime’s relationship with China and Russia has been notably amicable. On 3 August 2022, Eritrea condemned former US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, regarding it as a deplorable act in contravention of international law, the norms and provisions of State sovereignty, as well as the ‘One-China’ policy and the process of Chinese reunification. It was the only African state to come out so unambiguously in China’s defence.

During a visit to China in 2023,  Isaias defended China’s loan policy in Africa and supported a China-led new world order of cooperation. During his visit to Russia that same year, he stated that the war against Russia did not start with the Ukraine war, but rather began thirty years ago, during the Cold War, to contain Russia. In his meeting with Putin, he asked him to lead the war against Western hegemony.

A delegation from the Russian navy, led by Vice Admiral Vladimir Kasatonov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy, undertook a five-day visit to Eritrea’s Massawa port in April 2024.

Isaias began his political career with relations to the CIA and may end his career there, finally being embraced by the US, his dream love.

 

Friday, 23 January 2026

Wage Labour and Mobility in Colonial Eritrea, 1880s to 1920s

 Wage Labour and Mobility in Colonial Eritrea, 1880s to 1920s

By Massimo Zaccaria, 2014, published in International Labor and Working-Class History

Issue: Fall 2014, Volume: 86, Page numbers: 89-106

Abstract:

Mobility and wage labour are two key variables that help to explain some of the complexities of the labour history of colonial Eritrea. Focusing on the initial period of Italian colonization, between the 1880s and 1920s, this article analyzes the relationship between the two above-mentioned variables. Based on previously unexplored archival sources and documents, the authors conclude that wage labor did contribute to the mobility of workers throughout the region (and not vice versa). In the period under consideration, Eritrea did not become a settler colony, despite Italy's initial efforts to import a national labor force. Instead, through a mix of capital investments in construction and transport, and increasing military recruitment, the Italian regime contributed significantly to an increase in free wage labor in the region. Within a year of Italy's 1911 invasion of Libya, it needed to reinforce its colonial army. From 1912 onward, in return for wages, tens of thousands of Eritreans entered the Italian colonial army to fight on the Libyan front. This military employment left voids in the local labor market, which were filled by people from neighboring countries, particularly Ethiopians and Yemenis. A relationship thus developed and continued between mobility and wage labor.

https://www.mediafire.com/file/dvpepuv64vkawrj/Wage_Labor_and_Mobility_in_Colonial_Erit.pdf/file